Mortality from rAAA decreases, but 43% occur in people not qualified for screening


Even though the number of deaths due to ruptured aortic aneurysms (rAAA) has decreased in the USA by 68% in recent years, a significant number of deaths from ruptured aortic aneurysms occur in patients whose demographics exclude them from screening guidelines, according to a newly published study in the Journal of Vascular Surgery.

Specifically, 34% of deaths occurred in women and 9% occurred in men under age 65. Screening guidelines recommend screening men age 65 and older who have either smoked or a first degree relative with aortic aneurysm.

Ruptured aortic aneurysm has a very high mortality and is currently the 15th leading cause of death in US men over the age of 65. Over the past several decades, significant attention has been given to this disease in the form of risk factor modification, screening programs and endovascular therapy for ruptures.

The mortality rate due to ruptured aortic aneurysm in the USA is not well-studied, as previous research has focused on inpatient settings, operative mortality, specific communities or older data sets. The questions that remain include: What has been the impact of these improvements on aneurysm mortality in the USA? And, can we do better?

Researchers, led by University of Chicago vascular surgeon Ross Milner, performed a retrospective review of the national death certificate data from the US National Vital Statistics System to study deaths due to ruptured aortic aneurysm between 1999 and 2016.

Of 104,458 deaths, the mean age was 77±11 years, 62% were male, and 92% were white. The overall age-adjusted incidence of fatal ruptures was 23 per one million; specifically, abdominal, 15.1 per million; thoracic, 3.1 per million and thoraco-abdominal, 0.4 per million.

Importantly, the annual incidence of rupture decreased by 68%, from 40 per million in 1999 to 13 per million in 2016.  These trends were consistent across age groups, gender and race.

Other notable trends included a seasonal variation, with the highest rupture rates in winter, and a regional variation, with the lowest rates in the southern USA.

“The reason for this significant decrease in mortality due to ruptured aortic aneurysm remains speculative,” Milner noted, “but is likely multifactorial, including risk factor modification, population screening, improvement in regional centralisation, adequate emergency preparedness, and improvement in surgical care.”

He also noted the significant number of rupture deaths in patients not currently included in screening guidelines. Specifically, 43% of deaths occurred in either women (34%) or men under 65 years old (9%).

“Further studies are required to identify the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of population-based screening for aneurysm in women,” Milner he said.

Undoubtedly this study highlights the significant strides that have been made to decrease mortality from aortic aneurysm in the USA over the past decade.  This data furthers understanding as to the specific populations at higher risk for rupture and may suggest improvements in the criteria for screening, a statement from the Society for Vascular Surgery notes.


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